NEW YORK – November 12, 2026 -- Kroll has launched the Kroll Geoeconomic Risk Index (GRI), which stands at 70.9 on a 0–100 scale, well above its historical median of 50 and indicating significantly heightened geoeconomic pressure.
Index rose 3.2 points in a month after U.S. midterm elections
The GRI read 70.9 on 9 November 2026, up from 67.7 in October. Kroll attributes the increase to heightened market-implied risk adding to persistent energy pressure following the U.S. midterm elections.
Geopolitical, trade, commodity and energy pressures remain elevated, while broader financial conditions have so far been less affected, according to Kroll. Financial-market volatility after the elections sharpens the question of whether repricing stays contained or begins to affect credit conditions, investment plans and project delivery.
Kroll cautions that greater volatility challenges the resilience picture but does not by itself establish tighter credit or weaker activity.
GRI anchors a platform that links external events to enterprise value
The index is the headline measure of Kroll's Geoeconomic Resilience Intelligence Platform (GRIP). GRIP combines external economic, geopolitical, market, policy and regulatory intelligence with Kroll's proprietary data, analytics and modeling across valuations, risk and transactions.
Client-specific analysis can assess how tariffs, sanctions, regulatory change, conflict, supply-chain disruption and market volatility could affect a business. Kroll says it can tie those developments to revenues, costs, cash flow, financing, deal economics, resilience and enterprise value.
Clients can use the platform to:
- examine an immediate event;
- stress-test a transaction;
- pre-emptively evaluate an investment;
- compare alternative scenarios;
- monitor how changing conditions affect assumptions over time.
Kroll executives frame geoeconomic risk as a financial-decision input
Kroll CEO Jacob Silverman said the capability combines the firm's data and analytical technology with economic modeling and professional expertise, using AI to support evidence-led analysis.
Matthew Corkery, Managing Director of Kroll Economics, said geopolitical and macroeconomic change is increasingly an input into financial decision-making rather than a separate risk discussion. For CFOs, investors and boards, "knowing that risk has changed is only the beginning," he said. They need to know whether it alters investment returns, borrowing costs, business-model resilience or where capital should be deployed.
Kroll names financing and investment as the immediate watchpoints as the GRI holds above its median.