Canadian Oil Sands Output to Hit Record 3.5M b/d in 2026, S&P Says
Calgary, AB – – September 29, 2026 -- Canadian oil sands production is projected to average a record 3.5 million barrels per day (b/d) in 2026, a 100,000 b/d increase of 3% over the prior year, according to S&P Global Energy's latest 10-year production outlook. Output is forecast to climb further to 3.9 million b/d by the early 2030s.
Production has grown almost every year since 2001, when output stood at just 300,000 b/d
The only exception was 2020, when COVID-19 disrupted demand. Most of the 2026 gains stem from optimization of existing facilities rather than new construction, S&P Global Energy said.